Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.029326 0.033855 0.038864 0.044818 0.051706 0.059430 0.068755
2026-02-08 0.021952 0.027837 0.034988 0.044330 0.056234 0.070922 0.090469
2026-02-15 0.017533 0.023891 0.032196 0.043865 0.059883 0.081172 0.111737
2026-02-22 0.014934 0.021586 0.030804 0.044555 0.064630 0.093002 0.136384
2026-03-01 0.012778 0.019425 0.029117 0.044339 0.067771 0.102688 0.159073
2026-03-08 0.010882 0.017295 0.027075 0.043151 0.069089 0.109605 0.178284
2026-03-15 0.009359 0.015487 0.025216 0.041884 0.069949 0.115704 0.196779
2026-03-22 0.008499 0.014599 0.024659 0.042569 0.073954 0.127216 0.225595
2026-03-29 0.007694 0.013683 0.023913 0.042790 0.077123 0.137608 0.253754
2026-04-05 0.006985 0.012835 0.023159 0.042864 0.079979 0.147707 0.282619
2026-04-12 0.006433 0.012191 0.022675 0.043338 0.083571 0.159499 0.316133
2026-04-19 0.006021 0.011751 0.022501 0.044347 0.088265 0.173861 0.356483
2026-04-26 0.005354 0.010753 0.021178 0.043004 0.088262 0.179278 0.379935
2026-05-03 0.004883 0.010084 0.020416 0.042688 0.090298 0.189037 0.413864
2026-05-10 0.004457 0.009456 0.019657 0.042274 0.092058 0.198415 0.448250
2026-05-17 0.004182 0.009107 0.019428 0.042947 0.096217 0.213378 0.497127
2026-05-24 0.003858 0.008614 0.018834 0.042740 0.098389 0.224228 0.538037
2026-05-31 0.003494 0.007987 0.017878 0.041597 0.098270 0.229865 0.567334
2026-06-07 0.003163 0.007398 0.016939 0.040376 0.097805 0.234622 0.595119
2026-06-14 0.002998 0.007173 0.016803 0.041036 0.101941 0.250837 0.654026
2026-06-21 0.002817 0.006891 0.016499 0.041249 0.104998 0.264787 0.709075
2026-06-28 0.002643 0.006605 0.016155 0.041320 0.107702 0.278188 0.764598
2026-07-05 0.002505 0.006395 0.015971 0.041776 0.111462 0.294773 0.831255